Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
81¢
81% implied
NO Price
19¢
19% implied
Volume
$13.1K
366 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 130 traders
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $77.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs16 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 93%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$574+9 new NO$49
$19 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.2K is directional: YES $999·NO $228YES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+183.3%)
Whales
9
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥇
Entry 29¢·2,940.1 shares
Invested
$848
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$1446
+$1446INV $848 · WR 69.4%
G
G.Hchen🥈
Entry 28¢·305 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $86 · WR 57.9%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 11¢·170.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
96.3%
Position P&L
+$118
+$118INV $19 · WR 96.3%
A
0xabb9d267...
Entry 35¢·38 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $13 · WR 69.3%
T
TradeDeficitArchitect◆Proven
Entry 15¢·81.6 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $12 · WR 63.7%
M
Maximus374◆Proven
Entry 34¢·35 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $12 · WR 72.8%
E
e46m3hedged
Entry 14¢·44.2 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $6 · WR 79.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 28¢·16.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $5 · WR 68.1%
T
trader-ed87f54b
Entry 32¢·12.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $4 · WR 64.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
78.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$864(-72.8%)
Whales
16
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 75¢·463.4 shares
Invested
$347
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-257
$-257INV $347 · WR 87.6%
M
Mandalorec🥈
Entry 68¢·328 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
60.7%
Position P&L
$-157
$-157INV $223 · WR 60.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 67¢·270 shares
Invested
$182
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $182 · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 78¢·171.2 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $133 · WR 86.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 84¢·84.6 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $71 · WR 79.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 69¢·80 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $55 · WR 87.9%
M
melchior1248
Entry 71¢·50 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $36 · WR 69.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 62¢·50 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $31 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer
Entry 87¢·22.9 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $20 · WR 87.6%
S
sbimbg
Entry 66¢·28 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
71.4%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $18 · WR 71.4%
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