Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-03 House election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
98¢
98% implied
NO Price
2¢
2% implied
Volume
$6.8K
277 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 115 traders
WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $27.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs12 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $114 is directional: YES $114·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$125
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$85(+67.7%)
Whales
5
M
Metallic-Monasticism🥇
Entry 95¢·60 shares
Invested
$57
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $57 · WR 56.0%
S
spaceloaf🥈
Entry 90¢·41 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $37 · WR 64.3%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 37¢·53.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $20 · WR 55.9%
B
Baggy-Forehead-Consistency
Entry 41¢·20 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $8 · WR 62.1%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11hedged
Entry 7¢·40 shares·also $29 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $3 · WR 81.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$155
Avg Win Rate
84.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$150(-96.5%)
Whales
12
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 81¢·40 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 84¢·36.5 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $31 · WR 87.6%
W
wuwuwuwuwu11🥉hedged
Entry 73¢·40 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$29
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $29 · WR 81.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 56¢·29.8 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $17 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 75¢·14.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $11 · WR 86.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 79¢·12.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 84.1%
L
luciebot
Entry 88¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
80.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 80.5%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 89¢·9.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 81.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 87¢·7 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 88.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 5¢·30 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 89.0%
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