Politics22 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 40%-45%?
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$2.5K
140 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 47 traders
TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $12.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs13 NO
13%87%
87% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$15
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$5(-36.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$151
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$26(+17.5%)
Whales
13
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 60¢·60 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $36 · WR 85.7%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 60¢·50 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $30 · WR 79.6%
B
Brisk-Rod-Patentee🥉
Entry 50¢·28.9 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $14 · WR 81.7%
V
Vacant-Shape
Entry 50¢·21.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 78.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $10 · WR 88.7%
P
Pertinent-Nudge-Rancher
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 79.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 59¢·15 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $9 · WR 84.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·16 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 79.6%
M
mapleggg
Entry 50¢·10.2 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $5 · WR 86.1%
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