Politics4 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-20 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
37¢
37% implied
NO Price
63¢
63% implied
Volume
$4.9K
261 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 101 traders
TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $24.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs13 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 57%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$31+1 new NO$36
$28 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
YES Team
Total Invested
$2
Avg Win Rate
68.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$3(+128.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$224
Avg Win Rate
84.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$9(+3.8%)
Whales
13
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $40 · WR 89.1%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 77¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $39 · WR 86.6%
M
Moral-Stamp🥉
Entry 64¢·56.7 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $36 · WR 84.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 64¢·42 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 88.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 56¢·20 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $11 · WR 86.0%
L
Leading-Craft
Entry 50¢·21.6 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
82.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $11 · WR 82.5%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 52¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $10 · WR 84.5%
E
e46m3
Entry 68¢·15 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 79.3%
G
garbagecollect4hedged
Entry 78¢·13 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 68.7%
A
All-Decrease-Harvest
Entry 50¢·18 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
80.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $9 · WR 80.7%
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