PoliticsResolved
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$37.2K
1,031 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 253 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs48 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $575 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $192·NO $372YES Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
68.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.5K(+89.6%)
Whales
12
D
DirkDiggler67◆Proven🥇
Entry 52¢·8,791.1 shares
Invested
$4.6K
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$4223
+$4223INV $4.6K · WR 68.1%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor◆Proven🥈
Entry 62¢·277 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$105
+$105INV $172 · WR 69.4%
O
oneoftheppl◆Proven🥉
Entry 53¢·250 shares
Invested
$133
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$112
+$112INV $133 · WR 63.4%
G
G.Hchen
Entry 64¢·100 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $64 · WR 57.2%
S
sweetj
Entry 55¢·48 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $26 · WR 73.2%
E
EmanuelEsquivias
Entry 64¢·31.7 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $20 · WR 83.3%
D
dearwinNFLhedged
Entry 67¢·22.3 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $15 · WR 87.6%
S
soho-shop
Entry 58¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 71.0%
M
moonspell
Entry 58¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 59.1%
Showing top 9 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.2K(-92.8%)
Whales
48
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 48¢·1,349.9 shares
Invested
$653
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-653
$-653INV $653 · WR 87.6%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 48¢·781.3 shares
Invested
$373
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-373
$-373INV $373 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 50¢·510 shares
Invested
$254
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-254
$-254INV $254 · WR 86.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·484.7 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-244
$-244INV $244 · WR 79.2%
C
clazzy1
Entry 43¢·486.5 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-209
$-209INV $209 · WR 67.9%
D
donthackme
Entry 46¢·389.4 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $180 · WR 87.5%
C
C.PM
Entry 50¢·323 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-162
$-162INV $162 · WR 83.0%
K
korda77
Entry 44¢·311.4 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-137
$-137INV $137 · WR 84.8%
M
merod
Entry 49¢·202.9 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $99 · WR 83.4%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 46¢·175 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $80 · WR 88.6%
Showing top 10 of 48
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