Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 RI-02 House election by 25%-30%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$7.1K
263 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 120 traders
RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $34.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs14 NO
93%
93% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$7+12 new NO$388
$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $0·NO $20YES Team
Total Invested
$20
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$18(-88.4%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$449
Avg Win Rate
81.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$227(+50.5%)
Whales
14
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 64¢·131.6 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $84 · WR 71.9%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 68¢·109.5 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $75 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 72¢·74.5 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $54 · WR 79.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 60¢·85 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $51 · WR 88.5%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 64¢·67 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $43 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 64¢·60 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $38 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 73¢·40 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $29 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 97¢·28.5 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $27 · WR 86.5%
S
StudyPrediction◆Proven
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 68.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 67¢·20 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $13 · WR 86.0%
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