Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
20¢
20% implied
NO Price
80¢
80% implied
Volume
$7.5K
295 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 100 traders
New Hampshire Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $33.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs10 NO
23%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 72% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+11 new YES$267+14 new NO$969
$292 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $91 is directional: YES $66·NO $25YES Team
Total Invested
$66
Avg Win Rate
56.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-8.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$205
Avg Win Rate
81.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$55(+26.9%)
Whales
10
S
smallreceipt🥇
Entry 50¢·100 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $50 · WR 88.9%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 97¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $29 · WR 89.2%
T
thanksforplayin🥉
Entry 67¢·37.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $25 · WR 55.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 64¢·37 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $24 · WR 88.0%
M
melchior1248
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $19 · WR 69.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 52¢·32 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $17 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $13 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $10 · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 86.2%
N
Negative-Bob-Vitro
Entry 50¢·17.6 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $9 · WR 81.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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