Politics3 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 6%-9%?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$21.4K
465 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 134 traders
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $79.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs16 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+25 new YES$1.7K+17 new NO$5.6K
$1.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 11 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $72 is directional: YES $62·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$63
Avg Win Rate
56.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$15(-24.6%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$740
Avg Win Rate
80.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$166(+22.5%)
Whales
16
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 87¢·278.8 shares
Invested
$241
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $241 · WR 79.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 87¢·150 shares
Invested
$130
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $130 · WR 72.0%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 85¢·90 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
69.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $77 · WR 69.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 66¢·90 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $60 · WR 88.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 55¢·80.4 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $44 · WR 87.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 47¢·91.5 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $43 · WR 89.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 61¢·55 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $34 · WR 88.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 47¢·50 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $24 · WR 86.1%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 87¢·25 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $22 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 17¢·114.2 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $19 · WR 87.6%
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