Politics13 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 12% or more?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$2.9K
128 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 62 traders
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $36.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs7 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+22 new YES$87+16 new NO$943
$22 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale7 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $20 is directional: YES $20·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$20
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-32.1%)
Whales
9
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 7¢·94.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater🥈
Entry 8¢·40 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 79.7%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 8¢·36 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 72.1%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 6¢·50 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 85.4%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 7¢·25 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 87.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 9¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 88.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 9¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 8¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 86.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 7¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 89.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$242
Avg Win Rate
83.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$83(+34.3%)
Whales
7
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 87¢·120.6 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $105 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 95¢·55 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $52 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·70.4 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $35 · WR 87.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 89.0%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 84.3%
M
melchior1248
Entry 95¢·4.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $4 · WR 69.4%
Smart Whale Trades
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