Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%?
YES Price
92¢
92% implied
NO Price
8¢
8% implied
Volume
$5.3K
127 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 63 traders
IA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $34.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 97%
+1 new YES$40+1 new NO$1
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $366 is directional: YES $366·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$366
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$364(+99.5%)
Whales
5
9
0x90b92431...🥇
Entry 48¢·317.1 shares
Invested
$151
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$128
+$128INV $151 · WR 55.0%
S
SingletonFamilyFund🥈
Entry 33¢·310.9 shares
Invested
$104
Win Rate
67.2%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $104 · WR 67.2%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥉
Entry 57¢·175 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
+$58
+$58INV $100 · WR 77.9%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 97¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 64.4%
M
mantou11
Entry 16¢·13.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $2 · WR 56.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$226
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$200(-88.5%)
Whales
11
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 82¢·70 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $58 · WR 88.5%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 71¢·70 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $50 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys🥉
Entry 82¢·36 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $29 · WR 87.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 79¢·30 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $24 · WR 88.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 44¢·53.9 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $24 · WR 87.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $16 · WR 79.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 81¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 86.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 28¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $6 · WR 71.9%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 90¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 66.7%
M
mapleggg
Entry 81¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 86.0%
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