Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 50%-55%?
YES Price
61¢
61% implied
NO Price
39¢
39% implied
Volume
$5.3K
213 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 99 traders
FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $37.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $451 is directional: YES $451·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$456
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$97(+21.4%)
Whales
6
9
0x90b92431...🥇
Entry 68¢·534.1 shares
Invested
$365
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $365 · WR 55.0%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 39¢·171.8 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
77.9%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $66 · WR 77.9%
S
sweetj🥉
Entry 18¢·60 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $11 · WR 73.3%
R
RayGuy
Entry 8¢·121.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $10 · WR 77.1%
Y
yoyo424269hedged
Entry 22¢·20 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $4 · WR 69.8%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 9¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 64.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$124
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$25(-20.4%)
Whales
11
P
plainfolder🥇
Entry 78¢·40 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $31 · WR 86.1%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 58¢·30 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $17 · WR 86.1%
Y
yoyo424269🥉hedged
Entry 84¢·20 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $17 · WR 69.8%
C
C.PM
Entry 81¢·20 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
83.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $16 · WR 83.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 15¢·90 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $14 · WR 88.5%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 82¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $8 · WR 86.4%
G
Giant-Upper-Seat
Entry 85¢·8.3 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $7 · WR 81.6%
L
Lucerys
Entry 72¢·6.1 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 87.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 80¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 79.2%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 71¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 87.9%
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