Politics21 days left
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 FL-20 House election by 45%-50%?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$5.6K
310 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 79 traders
FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $25.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11 is directional: YES $4·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$54
Avg Win Rate
62.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$32(-59.8%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$193
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$66(+34.2%)
Whales
11
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 57¢·80 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $46 · WR 87.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥈
Entry 57¢·75.5 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $43 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 52¢·40.1 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $21 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $20 · WR 85.9%
H
Hauck
Entry 68¢·23.7 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $16 · WR 57.1%
P
plainfolder
Entry 69¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $14 · WR 86.0%
S
Satisfied-Shoehorn-Blast
Entry 50¢·22.8 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
83.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $11 · WR 83.4%
W
Worthless-Beak
Entry 50¢·19.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $10 · WR 81.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 66¢·10 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $7 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $5 · WR 89.0%
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