Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-08 House election by 12%-15%?
YES Price
38¢
38% implied
NO Price
62¢
62% implied
Volume
$8.4K
292 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 94 traders · 1 on both sides
CO-08 House Election Margin of Victory
10 MARKETS · $55.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs21 NO
9%91%
91% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$98+22 new NO$945
$28 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales12 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 25% of the money is not a bet
$40 of $158 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1·NO $117YES Team
Total Invested
$21
Avg Win Rate
72.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-59.7%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$63(-3.9%)
Whales
21
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven🥇
Entry 56¢·1,615.4 shares
Invested
$905
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $905 · WR 62.6%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 79¢·200.2 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $159 · WR 88.0%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 99¢·125 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $123 · WR 88.9%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 100¢·100 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$100
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $100 · WR 72.1%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 94¢·75 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $71 · WR 88.7%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 96¢·55.7 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $53 · WR 60.2%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 97¢·38.6 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $37 · WR 60.3%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 96¢·34.7 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $33 · WR 86.2%
C
C.PM
Entry 90¢·30 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $27 · WR 85.8%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $20 · WR 87.7%
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