Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AL-07 House election by 35%-40%?
YES Price
60¢
60% implied
NO Price
40¢
40% implied
Volume
$7.4K
272 trades
Smart Whales
19
of 117 traders
AL-07 House Election Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $35.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs14 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 66% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $549 is directional: YES $363·NO $186YES Team
Total Invested
$380
Avg Win Rate
60.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$149(+39.1%)
Whales
5
S
spaceloaf🥇
Entry 92¢·200 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $185 · WR 64.3%
M
Metallic-Monasticism🥈
Entry 94¢·106 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $100 · WR 56.0%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 53¢·110 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $58 · WR 57.9%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 30¢·66.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $20 · WR 55.9%
A
Analyse24ResultsBeforehedged
Entry 13¢·137 shares·also $29 on NO
Invested
$17
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $17 · WR 62.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$526
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$323(-61.3%)
Whales
14
M
mantou11🥇
Entry 69¢·270 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-171
$-171INV $186 · WR 56.1%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 82¢·122.5 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $100 · WR 87.6%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 74¢·75 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $56 · WR 89.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 87¢·40 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $35 · WR 88.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 74¢·45.8 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $34 · WR 87.9%
A
Analyse24ResultsBeforehedged
Entry 77¢·37.1 shares·also $17 on YES
Invested
$29
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $29 · WR 62.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 71¢·37.6 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $27 · WR 79.2%
N
Novel-Driveway-Upgrade
Entry 87¢·18 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
82.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $16 · WR 82.4%
L
lpgb
Entry 69¢·21 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $14 · WR 71.7%
L
Leading-Craft
Entry 70¢·16 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $11 · WR 84.1%
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