17 days left
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between November 15 and November 30, 2026?
YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$3.2K
119 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 66 traders · 1 on both sides
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
5 MARKETS · $14.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will the Danube River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026
75¢−51¢$5.4K4/13Will the Danube River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026−51¢75¢
$5.4K4/13
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between December 1 and December 15, 2026
8¢−8¢$1.2K0/7Will the Danube River return to normal levels between December 1 and December 15, 2026−8¢8¢
$1.2K0/7
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs10 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 19¢
YES 38%NO 63%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 19¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 93%· net of hedges
$62
$685
+11 new YES · 3 smart whales+7 new NO · 5 smart whales
$21 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $120 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $118·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$123
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$41(-33.0%)
Whales
6
S
spaceloaf🥇hedged
Entry 34¢·129.8 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$44
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $44 · WR 64.3%
M
mantou11🥈
Entry 10¢·349.6 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $36 · WR 56.0%
S
Started-with-20-USD◆Proven🥉
Entry 61¢·40 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $24 · WR 58.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 9¢·100 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $9 · WR 79.6%
R
romanew-1-new
Entry 22¢·28.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 63.7%
I
Itvpo
Entry 13¢·33 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $4 · WR 63.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$312
Avg Win Rate
83.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$17(+5.5%)
Whales
10
L
Lucerys🥇
Entry 81¢·93.1 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $76 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 95¢·75 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $71 · WR 87.9%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 80¢·85.8 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $69 · WR 71.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 97¢·53.5 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $52 · WR 86.1%
G
god83743894
Entry 32¢·49.5 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $16 · WR 86.0%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 41¢·25.5 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $11 · WR 86.5%
A
anothercoin
Entry 64¢·13 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 84.6%
Q
quarkie
Entry 99¢·6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $6 · WR 68.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 68¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 80.6%
S
spaceloafhedged
Entry 83¢·1.2 shares·also $44 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 64.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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