PoliticsResolved
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 50 seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$12.6K
259 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 87 traders
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs11 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NO
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$886
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+344.6%)
Whales
6
B
BKno95🥇hedged
Entry 106¢·671 shares·also $89 on NO
Invested
$711
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $711 · WR 72.0%
U
utanyanko🥈
Entry 57¢·144.8 shares
Invested
$82
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $82 · WR 56.7%
D
DarkRepulser🥉hedged
Entry 3¢·3,009.6 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$81
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$2929
+$2929INV $81 · WR 74.2%
T
tonny2006hedged
Entry 75¢·14.9 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $11 · WR 63.7%
B
BenjarninNetanyahuhedged
Entry 1¢·88.9 shares·also $328 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $1 · WR 58.8%
T
toufik-la-moula
Entry 1¢·10.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $0 · WR 91.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$695
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$695(-100.0%)
Whales
11
B
BenjarninNetanyahu🥇hedged
Entry 369¢·88.9 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$328
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-328
$-328INV $328 · WR 58.8%
K
kenop🥈
Entry 25¢·617 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
78.9%
Position P&L
$-155
$-155INV $155 · WR 78.9%
B
BKno95🥉hedged
Entry 74¢·121 shares·also $711 on YES
Invested
$89
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $89 · WR 72.0%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver
Entry 12¢·374.8 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 81.6%
E
eto1lol
Entry 75¢·45 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $34 · WR 85.4%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 19¢·124 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 87.7%
T
tonny2006hedged
Entry 108¢·14.9 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$16
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 63.7%
8
88mnm88
Entry 2¢·146.5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 77.1%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 12¢·14.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 66.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 5¢·10 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 79.6%
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