Geopolitics134 days left
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the March meeting?
YES Price
46¢
46% implied
NO Price
54¢
54% implied
Volume
$5.7K
160 trades
Smart Whales
7
of 74 traders · 1 on both sides
Bank of Russia Decision in March?
5 MARKETS · $7.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs7 NO
13%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$2.2K+43 new NO$1.7K
$2.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 24 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 35% of the money is not a bet
$24 of $68 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $44·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$56
Avg Win Rate
56.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-15.1%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$174
Avg Win Rate
80.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$13(-7.5%)
Whales
7
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 56¢·80 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $45 · WR 72.1%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 55¢·79.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $44 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt🥉
Entry 95¢·30 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
88.9%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $29 · WR 88.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 56¢·50 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $28 · WR 79.7%
L
Lucerys
Entry 52¢·25.1 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 88.0%
M
mocking-guesshedged
Entry 54¢·22 shares·also $56 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 56.8%
C
Conventional-Minorleague
Entry 40¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 66.7%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 47ms