GeopoliticsResolved
Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 19, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$9.1K
726 trades
Smart Whales
43
of 161 traders
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs29 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $17 is directional: YES $17·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$249
Avg Win Rate
60.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$245(-98.4%)
Whales
14
F
Female-Tailbud◆Proven🥇
Entry 31¢·144.7 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $45 · WR 56.8%
V
VolynMolfar🥈
Entry 20¢·208.9 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
66.0%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $43 · WR 66.0%
S
squisito◆Proven🥉
Entry 12¢·251.3 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $31 · WR 55.2%
J
jq123
Entry 9¢·337 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
63.9%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 63.9%
C
CompulsiveGamblerhedged
Entry 21¢·95.2 shares·also $138 on NO
Invested
$20
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 68.3%
M
Milin-dchedged
Entry 10¢·185 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 60.8%
C
Chegildekhedged
Entry 21¢·87.8 shares·also $45 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $18 · WR 59.2%
B
BAO95889
Entry 35¢·48.3 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 57.2%
O
Occasional-Guilt
Entry 24¢·41.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 56.4%
F
fi5h
Entry 35¢·27.3 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $9 · WR 61.3%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.3K
Avg Win Rate
75.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$416(+33.0%)
Whales
29
G
god83743894🥇
Entry 84¢·331 shares
Invested
$278
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $278 · WR 85.7%
N
Nostdam🥈
Entry 62¢·422 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$161
+$161INV $261 · WR 57.7%
C
CompulsiveGambler🥉hedged
Entry 69¢·200 shares·also $20 on YES
Invested
$138
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $138 · WR 68.3%
O
OmaJane
Entry 87¢·95.1 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $83 · WR 90.2%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 78¢·95 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $74 · WR 85.7%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 77¢·93.9 shares
Invested
$72
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $72 · WR 84.9%
C
Chegildekhedged
Entry 78¢·57.4 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $45 · WR 59.2%
4
4xc3dfa18b3
Entry 91¢·36 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $33 · WR 85.4%
A
Anon321321
Entry 82¢·39 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
86.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $32 · WR 86.3%
I
influenz.eth
Entry 88¢·35.6 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $31 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 29
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