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156 days left

Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$15.8K
501 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 152 traders

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

4 MARKETS · $54.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

6 YESvs14 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$269+7 new NO$255
$242 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $849 is directional: YES $526·NO $323
YES Team
Total Invested
$846
Avg Win Rate
73.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$66(-7.9%)
Whales
6
P
Pure-ThreatProven🥇
Entry 21¢·1,823.4 shares
+$172INV $375 · WR 81.9%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 114¢·280.6 shares·also $262 on NO
$-236INV $320 · WR 56.3%
R
RayGuy🥉
Entry 29¢·350 shares
+$4INV $102 · WR 100.0%
R
Rr55Proven
Entry 33¢·100 shares
$-3INV $33 · WR 73.0%
S
Started-with-20-USDProven
Entry 38¢·41 shares
$-3INV $16 · WR 58.7%
L
LuckyWinProven
Entry 39¢·2.6 shares
$-0INV $1 · WR 84.0%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 30% YES: Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026