YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$10.5K
375 trades
Smart Whales
12
of 73 traders · 2 on both sides
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
15 MARKETS · $76.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs9 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+23 new YES$756+26 new NO$2.1K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 15 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 56% of the money is not a bet
$492 of $880 is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $0·NO $388YES Team
Total Invested
$252
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$40(-16.1%)
Whales
5
G
grasstoucher69🥇hedged
Entry 26¢·685 shares·also $500 on NO
Invested
$178
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $178 · WR 58.5%
P
PippiTrader🥈hedged
Entry 26¢·267 shares·also $79 on NO
Invested
$68
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $68 · WR 62.3%
M
Majas🥉hedged
Entry 119¢·4.3 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 67.4%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 36¢·0.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 55.6%
L
LiuJeremyhedged
Entry 5¢·3.6 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 82.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$645
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$23(+3.6%)
Whales
9
G
grasstoucher69🥇hedged
Entry 75¢·668.8 shares·also $178 on YES
Invested
$500
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $500 · WR 58.5%
P
PippiTrader🥈hedged
Entry 74¢·106.7 shares·also $68 on YES
Invested
$79
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $79 · WR 62.3%
T
Tsubasa🥉
Entry 75¢·50 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $37 · WR 60.0%
J
janetcase
Entry 75¢·12.7 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $10 · WR 76.6%
M
Majashedged
Entry 201¢·4.3 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$9
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $9 · WR 67.4%
T
TheForeseer
Entry 86¢·5.9 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 81.5%
T
Thirsty-Cushion
Entry 66¢·3.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 65.9%
L
LiuJeremyhedged
Entry 55¢·3.6 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 82.7%
A
Arman4
Entry 86¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 68.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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