YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$61.7K
811 trades
Smart Whales
58
of 310 traders · 1 on both sides
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
6 MARKETS · $330.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026
1¢+8¢$3.6K4/42Will SpaceX have between 100-119 launches in 2026+8¢1¢
$3.6K4/42
Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026
8¢+12¢$5.4K11/43Will SpaceX have between 120-139 launches in 2026+12¢8¢
$5.4K11/43
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026
74¢−58¢$50.3K11/56Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026−58¢74¢
$50.3K11/56
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026
3¢+22¢$102.1K18/54Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026+22¢3¢
$102.1K18/54
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs48 NO
19%81%
81% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $446 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $110·NO $333YES Team
Total Invested
$117
Avg Win Rate
58.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$76(-64.6%)
Whales
11
G
Glued◆Proven🥇
Entry 12¢·566.5 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $68 · WR 56.2%
C
Crazykekbr🥈
Entry 33¢·100 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $33 · WR 57.4%
J
jennylulu2016🥉
Entry 8¢·62 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
89.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 89.1%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 18¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 59.7%
P
PolyJaguar
Entry 17¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 57.5%
S
Striped-Cork
Entry 14¢·7.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 65.5%
P
PollyForgehedged
Entry 16¢·5 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 84.8%
Y
yzhaobk
Entry 0¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 87.9%
Showing top 8 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
79.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$653(+46.0%)
Whales
48
B
BetterFish◆Proven🥇
Entry 98¢·325.3 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $318 · WR 70.2%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 94¢·332.3 shares
Invested
$314
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $314 · WR 72.2%
G
graynotebook19🥉
Entry 50¢·207.7 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $105 · WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer
Entry 91¢·103 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $94 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77
Entry 95¢·67 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $63 · WR 85.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 95¢·50 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $47 · WR 88.7%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 93¢·50 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $47 · WR 88.1%
E
EdwardLewis
Entry 93¢·40 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $37 · WR 89.0%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 95¢·36 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $34 · WR 85.0%
N
nashyy43
Entry 86¢·30 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $26 · WR 87.5%
Showing top 10 of 48
Smart Whale Trades
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