PoliticsResolved
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$24.5K
1,339 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 502 traders
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs13 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $27 is directional: YES $21·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$82
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$60(+73.2%)
Whales
12
2
0x2accf659...🥇
Entry 82¢·25 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $21 · WR 58.0%
T
tianxiadiyi🥈
Entry 98¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
71.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $15 · WR 71.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉hedged
Entry 238¢·5.2 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 68.2%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 2¢·596.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 56.4%
L
Loyal-Aggression
Entry 52¢·19.5 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 61.9%
B
bogdanvafrike
Entry 43¢·12.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 67.7%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 16¢·19.5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 59.6%
A
archaichedged
Entry 3¢·73.7 shares·also $61 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 86.8%
L
letmeinthetournamentplease
Entry 0¢·1,709.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$110
+$110INV $2 · WR 56.1%
D
dontshowmyname◆Proven
Entry 0¢·861.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $1 · WR 66.4%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$154
Avg Win Rate
85.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$887(+576.5%)
Whales
13
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 15¢·535.1 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$420
+$420INV $80 · WR 85.8%
A
archaic🥈hedged
Entry 1060¢·5.8 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$61
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $61 · WR 86.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell🥉hedged
Entry 102¢·5.2 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 68.2%
N
Nishtalik
Entry 95¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 74.1%
G
gemeny33434
Entry 96¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 76.2%
G
gemeliuker
Entry 97¢·1.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 68.0%
8
88mnm88
Entry 81¢·1.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 77.1%
W
wokerjoesleeper
Entry 0¢·216.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$201
+$201INV $1 · WR 87.6%
P
paspor
Entry 0¢·182.1 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$170
+$170INV $0 · WR 85.8%
C
Cookedtan◆Proven
Entry 0¢·108.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$102
+$102INV $0 · WR 85.1%
Showing top 10 of 13
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