YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$12.6K
292 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 100 traders
Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
29 MARKETS · $158.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
2¢+25¢$18.4K3/8Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony+25¢2¢
$18.4K3/8
Will DJ Snake attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will DJ Snake attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
54¢+2¢$6.3K5/4Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony+2¢54¢
$6.3K5/4
Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Erling Haaland attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Fabián Ruiz attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
98¢−19¢$6.1K11/3Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony−19¢98¢
$6.1K11/3
Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Jude Bellingham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Jürgen Klopp attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Jürgen Klopp attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
16¢+14¢$8.3K3/7Will Kaka attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony+14¢16¢
$8.3K3/7
Will Kate Scott attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Kate Scott attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
94¢−12¢$8.2K9/2Will Kylian Mbappé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony−12¢94¢
$8.2K9/2
Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
99¢−24¢$4.2K3/1Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony−24¢99¢
$4.2K3/1
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
29¢−4¢$23.0K4/12Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony−4¢29¢
$23.0K4/12
Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Luis Enrique attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Michael Olise attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Michael Olise attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
61¢−1¢$4.2K3/2Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony−1¢61¢
$4.2K3/2
Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
76¢−9¢$14.9K4/2Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony−9¢76¢
$14.9K4/2
Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Pep Guardiola attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Princess Charlene of Monaco attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Princess Charlene of Monaco attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
98¢−31¢$9.8K8/4Will Rodri attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony−31¢98¢
$9.8K8/4
Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Ronaldinho attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Ronaldo Nazário attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Ronaldo Nazário attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony←
15¢+18¢$12.6K3/6Will Sergio Ramos attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony←+18¢15¢
$12.6K3/6
Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Vincent Kompany attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Vincent Kompany attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
80¢−39¢$17.5K7/10Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony−39¢80¢
$17.5K7/10
Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony
50¢—$00/0Will Vozinha attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony—50¢
$00/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs6 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$77+19 new NO$2.1K
$116 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $369 is directional: YES $4·NO $365YES Team
Total Invested
$361
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$208(-57.6%)
Whales
3
B
BAO95889🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·372.8 shares·also $139 on NO
Invested
$332
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-277
$-277INV $332 · WR 58.1%
V
vinii🥈hedged
Entry 4¢·633 shares·also $277 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $25 · WR 65.8%
R
romanew-2s🥉
Entry 16¢·24.5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
—
—INV $4 · WR 69.1%
NO Team
Total Invested
$782
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$523(+66.9%)
Whales
6
V
vinii🥇hedged
Entry 44¢·633 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$277
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$262
+$262INV $277 · WR 65.8%
D
DREAMBIG.◆Proven🥈
Entry 84¢·260 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $217 · WR 71.7%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥉
Entry 87¢·162.8 shares
Invested
$141
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $141 · WR 63.5%
B
BAO95889hedged
Entry 29¢·474.2 shares·also $332 on YES
Invested
$139
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$265
+$265INV $139 · WR 58.1%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 95¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 78.0%
D
doesntlisten
Entry 79¢·3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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