GeopoliticsResolved

Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026?

YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$41.6K
630 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 159 traders

Smart Money Consensus

14 YESvs31 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 14 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.3K is directional: YES $124·NO $4.1K

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 31% YES: Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026