Geopolitics63 days left

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
57¢
57% implied
NO Price
43¢
43% implied
Volume
$10.9K
248 trades
Smart Whales
11
of 90 traders · 1 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

3 YESvs9 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 67% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 51%· net of hedges
+12 new YES$374+11 new NO$384
$297 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$40 of $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $1.4K·NO $720

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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