PoliticsResolved
Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$44.0K
863 trades
Smart Whales
64
of 235 traders
Smart Money Consensus
32 YESvs32 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.9K is directional: YES $3.9K·NO $25YES Team
Total Invested
$16.6K
Avg Win Rate
75.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$10.5K(+63.5%)
Whales
32
6
65765757🥇
Entry 50¢·8,062.6 shares
Invested
$4.1K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$4004
+$4004INV $4.1K · WR 78.2%
R
Renan2030🥈
Entry 50¢·7,967.2 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$3984
+$3984INV $4.0K · WR 77.3%
M
MSFTQQQ🥉
Entry 92¢·3,338 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$172
+$172INV $3.1K · WR 84.6%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 82¢·2,957.2 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$532
+$532INV $2.4K · WR 55.0%
A
alpha-bonds
Entry 50¢·981.2 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$486
+$486INV $495 · WR 88.1%
P
Prinas◆Proven
Entry 80¢·600 shares
Invested
$480
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$120
+$120INV $480 · WR 81.2%
S
Serpentine-Majority◆Proven
Entry 80¢·500 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $400 · WR 79.1%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven
Entry 55¢·680.1 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$304
+$304INV $376 · WR 63.4%
S
Seeking-Alpha01hedged
Entry 34¢·1,011.3 shares·also $968 on NO
Invested
$340
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$672
+$672INV $340 · WR 67.3%
U
Unfolded-Psychology
Entry 82¢·308.5 shares
Invested
$252
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $252 · WR 75.4%
Showing top 10 of 32
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-81.5%)
Whales
32
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇hedged
Entry 96¢·1,011.3 shares·also $340 on YES
Invested
$968
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-968
$-968INV $968 · WR 67.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥈
Entry 12¢·2,068 shares
Invested
$253
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-253
$-253INV $253 · WR 70.5%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 17¢·1,476.5 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-244
$-244INV $244 · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 10¢·2,016.9 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-203
$-203INV $203 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 9¢·1,196.7 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $112 · WR 85.9%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 18¢·196.3 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 85.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 10¢·335 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $33 · WR 85.7%
M
merod
Entry 16¢·183.6 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $29 · WR 84.1%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 19¢·130 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 88.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 13¢·181 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $24 · WR 89.3%
Showing top 10 of 32
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