PoliticsResolved
Will Rogerio Carvalho win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$6.8K
269 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 106 traders
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs16 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $139 is directional: YES $129·NO $10YES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$637(+63.0%)
Whales
9
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇hedged
Entry 88¢·599.5 shares·also $231 on NO
Invested
$525
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $525 · WR 67.3%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·333 shares
Invested
$166
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$166
+$166INV $166 · WR 62.5%
R
Ryxon21◆Proven🥉
Entry 50¢·271.2 shares
Invested
$136
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $136 · WR 71.3%
B
Blue-Horseshoe◆Proven
Entry 98¢·124 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $121 · WR 72.4%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 20¢·187.9 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $38 · WR 56.4%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 17¢·106.7 shares·also $83 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $18 · WR 63.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 30¢·20 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $6 · WR 69.8%
A
Aromatic-Empire
Entry 30¢·6.8 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
73.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $2 · WR 73.9%
Showing top 8 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$634
Avg Win Rate
73.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$632(-99.8%)
Whales
16
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇hedged
Entry 38¢·599.5 shares·also $525 on YES
Invested
$231
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-231
$-231INV $231 · WR 67.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 52¢·167.2 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $86 · WR 72.2%
K
KiernanMeister🥉hedged
Entry 53¢·156.4 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$83
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $83 · WR 63.4%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 31¢·199.4 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $63 · WR 85.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 72¢·85 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $61 · WR 89.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 23¢·143.6 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $33 · WR 86.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 72¢·35 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 79.6%
M
Mountainous-Inconvenience-Shout
Entry 50¢·32 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 83.3%
J
JPLP
Entry 48¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 57.0%
P
PollyForge
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 84.8%
Showing top 10 of 16
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