Politics21 days left
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.5K
204 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 66 traders
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
13 MARKETS · $64.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms
25¢−3¢$6.3K4/14Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms−3¢25¢
$6.3K4/14
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms
9¢+4¢$4.2K2/13Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms+4¢9¢
$4.2K2/13
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms
10¢+11¢$6.2K4/15Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms+11¢10¢
$6.2K4/15
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms
8¢+9¢$8.9K3/15Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms+9¢8¢
$8.9K3/15
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms
12¢+9¢$8.7K4/15Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms+9¢12¢
$8.7K4/15
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms
1¢+18¢$3.0K3/13Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms+18¢1¢
$3.0K3/13
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms←
2¢+22¢$3.5K4/13Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms←+22¢2¢
$3.5K4/13
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms
4¢+10¢$4.5K2/12Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms+10¢4¢
$4.5K2/12
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms
1¢+12¢$2.3K2/13Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms+12¢1¢
$2.3K2/13
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms
3¢+18¢$2.4K3/11Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms+18¢3¢
$2.4K3/11
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms
8¢+5¢$2.8K2/14Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms+5¢8¢
$2.8K2/14
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Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs16 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 64% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%
+5 new YES$6+4 new NO$397
1 smart whale3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $53 is directional: YES $34·NO $19YES Team
Total Invested
$34
Avg Win Rate
71.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$27(-79.0%)
Whales
5
C
conherence🥇
Entry 4¢·424.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $15 · WR 58.8%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven🥈
Entry 8¢·191.9 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $15 · WR 85.7%
P
puravida🥉
Entry 9¢·26 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 59.9%
P
PollyForge
Entry 8¢·20 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 84.8%
G
GayPridehedged
Entry 1¢·25 shares·also $445 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 69.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
77.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$828(+67.3%)
Whales
16
G
GayPride🥇hedged
Entry 92¢·485.6 shares·also $0 on YES
Invested
$445
Win Rate
69.5%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $445 · WR 69.5%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 50¢·460 shares
Invested
$230
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$222
+$222INV $230 · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·300 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $150 · WR 87.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·214 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$103
+$103INV $107 · WR 85.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 49¢·195.1 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $96 · WR 89.3%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·111.3 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $56 · WR 79.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 63¢·59.7 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $38 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 49¢·56.9 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $28 · WR 89.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 50¢·52 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $26 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 49¢·40.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 88.7%
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