PoliticsResolved

Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

0¢

0% implied

NO Price

100¢

100% implied

Volume

$4.1K

416 trades

Smart Whales

23

of 106 traders

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs19 NO

17%83%

83% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $22 is directional: YES $0·NO $22

YES Team

Total Invested

$118

Avg Win Rate

60.8%

Aggregate P&L

-$118(-99.8%)

Whales

4

Entry 10¢·528 shares

$-53INV $53 · WR 56.0%

Glued🥈hedged

Entry 108¢·35 shares·also $3 on NO

$-38INV $38 · WR 56.2%

Entry 100¢·20 shares

$-20INV $20 · WR 82.7%

Memorable-Injusticehedged

Entry 68¢·11.2 shares·also $1 on NO

$-8INV $8 · WR 59.0%

NO Team

Total Invested

$1.5K

Avg Win Rate

81.9%

Aggregate P&L

+$236(+15.2%)

Whales

19

qwen4.1.fund🥇

Entry 99¢·942.7 shares

+$9INV $933 · WR 85.9%

Entry 75¢·258.3 shares

+$63INV $195 · WR 62.6%

plainfolder🥉

Entry 99¢·105 shares

+$1INV $104 · WR 86.0%

Entry 77¢·125.5 shares

+$28INV $97 · WR 89.3%

Entry 99¢·93 shares

+$0INV $93 · WR 87.7%

Entry 89¢·54.1 shares

+$6INV $48 · WR 56.4%

Entry 99¢·33 shares

+$0INV $33 · WR 79.6%

Elias.Thornwell

Entry 94¢·20.7 shares

+$1INV $19 · WR 68.2%

Entry 84¢·10 shares

+$2INV $8 · WR 79.6%

Entry 100¢·7.6 shares

—INV $8 · WR 87.7%

Showing top 10 of 19

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...

Loaded in 1125ms