PoliticsResolved
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
YES Price
18¢
18% implied
NO Price
82¢
82% implied
Volume
$16.9K
818 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 219 traders
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs31 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 51% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $159 is directional: YES $81·NO $78YES Team
Total Invested
$3.0K
Avg Win Rate
64.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-70.8%)
Whales
14
C
cambridgeisaac🥇
Entry 38¢·3,692.8 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-735
$-735INV $1.4K · WR 57.3%
W
Warren-Buffett🥈hedged
Entry 168¢·456.1 shares·also $1.9K on NO
Invested
$768
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-685
$-685INV $768 · WR 65.5%
Z
zxdfbdfgngcxv◆Proven🥉
Entry 382¢·153.8 shares
Invested
$587
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-559
$-559INV $587 · WR 83.3%
W
wvsfsafasd
Entry 39¢·168 shares
Invested
$66
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $66 · WR 55.9%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 4¢·882.5 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $33 · WR 57.2%
F
Frequent-Underground-Bureau
Entry 91¢·19.3 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 59.3%
G
Glued◆Proven
Entry 42¢·37 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 56.2%
S
StormRazer
Entry 86¢·7.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 59.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 81¢·5 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 68.2%
C
Complicated-Shoes
Entry 25¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 57.8%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.0K
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.4K(+28.7%)
Whales
31
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven🥇
Entry 52¢·13,143.6 shares
Invested
$6.8K
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$3905
+$3905INV $6.8K · WR 69.8%
W
Warren-Buffett🥈hedged
Entry 418¢·456.1 shares·also $768 on YES
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-1533
$-1533INV $1.9K · WR 65.5%
H
Hot-SkullHomelessBegger🥉
Entry 100¢·1,714.3 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-313
$-313INV $1.7K · WR 81.8%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 68¢·533.1 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$75
+$75INV $361 · WR 79.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 16¢·1,112.7 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$734
+$734INV $175 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 46¢·282.8 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $131 · WR 79.6%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 60¢·171 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $103 · WR 84.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 96¢·106.9 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $103 · WR 85.8%
P
plainfolder
Entry 29¢·332.8 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$176
+$176INV $96 · WR 86.0%
G
GhostMbao
Entry 98¢·77.9 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $76 · WR 71.6%
Showing top 10 of 31
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