PoliticsResolved
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
YES Price
40¢
40% implied
NO Price
60¢
60% implied
Volume
$3.5K
659 trades
Smart Whales
40
of 185 traders
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs28 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 98% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $1.7K·NO $43YES Team
Total Invested
$4.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$456(-10.5%)
Whales
12
J
James-Talarico🥇
Entry 99¢·1,315.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $1.3K · WR 82.0%
F
FrozenParasite🥈
Entry 39¢·2,851.5 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $1.1K · WR 57.2%
C
cambridgeisaac🥉
Entry 87¢·880.7 shares
Invested
$763
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-415
$-415INV $763 · WR 57.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 57¢·532.8 shares
Invested
$306
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-95
$-95INV $306 · WR 70.5%
G
GhostMbao
Entry 98¢·204.9 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $201 · WR 71.6%
D
DeverNoom◆Proven
Entry 96¢·167.2 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $160 · WR 65.8%
H
Hot-Skullhedged
Entry 69¢·41 shares·also $55 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $28 · WR 69.8%
K
kickoffu
Entry 75¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 63.4%
A
Anon321321321
Entry 17¢·32.7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $5 · WR 84.8%
Showing top 9 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$164(-8.1%)
Whales
28
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 93¢·1,032.7 shares
Invested
$959
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-335
$-335INV $959 · WR 85.9%
W
Warren-Buffett◆Proven🥈
Entry 39¢·747.4 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$158
+$158INV $294 · WR 65.5%
M
mustbethewater🥉
Entry 40¢·436 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $173 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 91¢·185.1 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $169 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 72¢·155 shares
Invested
$111
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $111 · WR 87.7%
H
Hot-Skullhedged
Entry 133¢·41 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $55 · WR 69.8%
H
hitunfar
Entry 50¢·95.1 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $48 · WR 61.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 7¢·577.4 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $38 · WR 55.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 65¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $32 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 34¢·90 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $30 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 28
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1583ms