PoliticsResolved
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$2.6K
337 trades
Smart Whales
29
of 89 traders
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs19 NO
35%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $293 is directional: YES $293·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$331
Avg Win Rate
83.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$167(-50.3%)
Whales
10
W
win-at-all-cost🥇
Entry 17¢·1,647 shares
Invested
$274
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-256
$-256INV $274 · WR 86.5%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 90¢·25 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$23
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $23 · WR 56.4%
7
0x700974a3...🥉
Entry 17¢·43 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 81.7%
T
Tikgorhedged
Entry 35¢·20 shares·also $0 on NO
Invested
$7
Win Rate
75.3%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 75.3%
M
MrAndMsClaude
Entry 69¢·7 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 61.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 43¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 68.2%
A
a5tthsyuo3c
Entry 17¢·24.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 88.4%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 59.7%
H
huyewell
Entry 0¢·2,222 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $2 · WR 56.5%
A
Anne666
Entry 0¢·1,111 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $1 · WR 56.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$173
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$92(+53.0%)
Whales
19
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 72¢·78 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $56 · WR 88.7%
G
god83743894🥈
Entry 97¢·40 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $39 · WR 85.7%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 98¢·20 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $20 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77
Entry 97¢·13.2 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $13 · WR 85.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.9%
M
Mealy-Developer
Entry 93¢·7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $7 · WR 61.7%
F
Fat-Wall
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 77.7%
G
Glued◆Proven
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 56.2%
G
glassglass
Entry 99¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 63.8%
B
brownrices
Entry 99¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 65.3%
Showing top 10 of 19
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 788ms