PoliticsResolved
Will Republican House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
YES Price
5¢
5% implied
NO Price
95¢
95% implied
Volume
$38.7K
473 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 113 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs13 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $25 is directional: YES $11·NO $13YES Team
Total Invested
$16
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$6(-37.1%)
Whales
8
7
0x700974a3...🥇
Entry 50¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 81.7%
F
FrozenParasite🥈
Entry 3¢·173.3 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4 · WR 56.4%
A
a5tthsyuo3c🥉
Entry 50¢·2.9 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 88.4%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 9¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
V
vaccinejl
Entry 10¢·9.8 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 59.5%
M
MrAndMsClaude
Entry 10¢·7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 61.7%
H
hbnva
Entry 5¢·8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 55.4%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 0¢·7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 59.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
85.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$29(-1.5%)
Whales
13
W
win-at-all-cost🥇
Entry 100¢·1,776 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $1.8K · WR 86.5%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven🥈
Entry 87¢·114.1 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $99 · WR 69.3%
A
Ani222🥉
Entry 79¢·16.5 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $13 · WR 65.6%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.9%
I
Infatuated-Convenience
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 84.8%
Y
yzhaobk
Entry 51¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 87.9%
F
Fat-Wall
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 77.7%
G
glassglass
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 63.8%
Z
zua
Entry 97¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 85.0%
I
IWant1Dollar
Entry 51¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 13
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 442ms