PoliticsResolved
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$3.8K
378 trades
Smart Whales
27
of 82 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs19 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $262 is directional: YES $262·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$263
Avg Win Rate
85.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$232(-88.2%)
Whales
8
W
win-at-all-cost🥇
Entry 17¢·1,441.9 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-232
$-232INV $240 · WR 86.5%
7
0x700974a3...🥈
Entry 17¢·70 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $12 · WR 81.7%
A
a5tthsyuo3c🥉
Entry 17¢·24.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 88.4%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 50¢·7 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 59.7%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 35¢·5.6 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 68.2%
A
Anne666
Entry 0¢·1,111 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $1 · WR 56.9%
M
MrAndMsClaude
Entry 4¢·7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 61.7%
H
huyewell
Entry 0¢·47.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 56.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$173
Avg Win Rate
84.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$106(+60.9%)
Whales
19
G
graynotebook19🥇
Entry 99¢·36 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $36 · WR 89.3%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $30 · WR 87.7%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 96¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 85.7%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·26.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $13 · WR 85.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 88.7%
Y
yzhaobk
Entry 81¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 87.9%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·15.4 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $8 · WR 79.2%
B
bernardbulletin◆Proven
Entry 50¢·14 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $7 · WR 69.3%
I
Infatuated-Convenience
Entry 52¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 84.8%
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