PoliticsResolved
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$5.0K
398 trades
Smart Whales
25
of 115 traders
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs18 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $205 is directional: YES $205·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$208
Avg Win Rate
85.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$47(-22.7%)
Whales
7
W
win-at-all-cost🥇
Entry 17¢·1,173 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $195 · WR 86.5%
7
0x700974a3...🥈
Entry 17¢·30 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 81.7%
A
a5tthsyuo3c🥉
Entry 17¢·24.8 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
88.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 88.4%
H
huyewell
Entry 0¢·2,222 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $2 · WR 56.5%
A
Anne666
Entry 0¢·1,111 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $1 · WR 56.9%
V
vaccinejl
Entry 4¢·9.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.5%
W
wvsfsafasd
Entry 1¢·3.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 56.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$160
Avg Win Rate
84.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$111(+69.7%)
Whales
18
N
northdrawer🥇
Entry 97¢·36 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $35 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 43¢·49 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $21 · WR 86.0%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·26.3 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $13 · WR 85.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.9%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $10 · WR 85.7%
I
Infatuated-Convenience
Entry 81¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 84.8%
T
Tee1000
Entry 69¢·8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 81.8%
F
Fat-Wall
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $5 · WR 77.7%
B
ballb
Entry 100¢·5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
64.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 64.1%
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