PoliticsResolved
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
YES Price
87¢
87% implied
NO Price
13¢
13% implied
Volume
$17.9K
1,238 trades
Smart Whales
53
of 285 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
24 YESvs30 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 99%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$700+4 new NO$10
$7 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$7 of $4.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $4.5K·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$5.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+25.4%)
Whales
24
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 87¢·3,693.8 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$219
+$219INV $3.2K · WR 63.4%
F
FrozenParasite🥈hedged
Entry 65¢·1,445.8 shares·also $326 on NO
Invested
$941
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$323
+$323INV $941 · WR 56.4%
A
Arman2🥉
Entry 97¢·940 shares
Invested
$910
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $910 · WR 57.7%
P
poljdnn17hedged
Entry 27¢·1,398.7 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$371
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$852
+$852INV $371 · WR 86.8%
N
neverhackme
Entry 90¢·233.1 shares
Invested
$209
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $209 · WR 75.8%
N
nicoco89
Entry 57¢·57.9 shares
Invested
$33
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $33 · WR 62.6%
P
Plexityhedged
Entry 85¢·30 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $25 · WR 81.3%
A
asfdt23
Entry 97¢·20 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $19 · WR 65.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 84¢·21.6 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $18 · WR 68.2%
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven
Entry 86¢·20 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $17 · WR 70.2%
Showing top 10 of 24
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
82.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.4K(-75.8%)
Whales
30
W
win-at-all-cost🥇
Entry 84¢·1,776 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
$-1268
$-1268INV $1.5K · WR 86.5%
P
poljdnn17🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·1,315.7 shares·also $371 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-1066
$-1066INV $1.2K · WR 86.8%
F
FrozenParasite🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·1,970.9 shares·also $941 on YES
Invested
$326
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $326 · WR 56.4%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 69¢·114.4 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $79 · WR 57.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 2¢·228.3 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $6 · WR 87.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 3¢·136.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $4 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 6¢·62 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $4 · WR 87.7%
P
Plexityhedged
Entry 11¢·30 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
81.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $3 · WR 81.3%
P
plainfolder
Entry 5¢·57.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $3 · WR 86.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 8¢·36.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 89.3%
Showing top 10 of 30
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1384ms