6 days left
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%?
YES Price
4¢
4% implied
NO Price
96¢
96% implied
Volume
$1.7K
135 trades
Smart Whales
21
of 35 traders
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
6 MARKETS · $26.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs14 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$3+15 new NO$464
$0 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
0 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $174 is directional: YES $26·NO $149YES Team
Total Invested
$26
Avg Win Rate
73.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$21(-82.3%)
Whales
7
B
BKno95◆Proven🥇
Entry 2¢·496 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $12 · WR 72.0%
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥈
Entry 15¢·50 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 72.9%
B
Blue-Horseshoe◆Proven🥉
Entry 3¢·100 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 72.3%
5
0x5413b262...
Entry 6¢·32.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
78.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 78.8%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 8¢·16.6 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 84.8%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 11¢·2.4 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 88.7%
N
neverhackme
Entry 14¢·1.9 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 75.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$984
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$771(+78.4%)
Whales
14
B
Bigggggggg🥇
Entry 50¢·470.5 shares
Invested
$235
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$217
+$217INV $235 · WR 85.8%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 50¢·438.5 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$202
+$202INV $219 · WR 72.1%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 50¢·306.1 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$141
+$141INV $153 · WR 87.7%
W
WhySoBroke
Entry 97¢·113 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
81.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $110 · WR 81.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·180 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $90 · WR 85.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·98.6 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$45
+$45INV $49 · WR 79.6%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $40 · WR 86.5%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 100¢·26.3 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $26 · WR 59.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 50¢·51.6 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $26 · WR 84.5%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 99¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $12 · WR 66.8%
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