261 days left
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards?
YES Price
27¢
27% implied
NO Price
73¢
73% implied
Volume
$1.9K
105 trades
Smart Whales
13
of 46 traders
Oscars 2027: Best Visual Effects Winner
11 MARKETS · $21.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs11 NO
15%85%
85% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $41 is directional: YES $39·NO $2YES Team
Total Invested
$161
Avg Win Rate
84.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$84(-52.0%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$204
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$170(+83.5%)
Whales
11
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥇
Entry 183¢·26.2 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $48 · WR 57.9%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $40 · WR 85.9%
C
crckr🥉
Entry 34¢·82 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $28 · WR 58.4%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 57¢·39 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $22 · WR 89.0%
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $18 · WR 80.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·36 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $18 · WR 88.2%
R
rainbowlilies
Entry 24¢·50 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $12 · WR 84.8%
C
cash-machine
Entry 57¢·10 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 85.1%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·10 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $5 · WR 79.2%
R
rdfygtfghhedged
Entry 3¢·140.9 shares·also $123 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $5 · WR 87.5%
Showing top 10 of 11
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 348ms