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Politics

Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
14¢
14% implied
NO Price
86¢
86% implied
Volume
$10.2K
525 trades
Smart Whales
37
of 148 traders

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

8 MARKETS · $48.9K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs27 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 55% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 85%· net of hedges
+5 new YES$41+6 new NO$225
$3 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $469 is directional: YES $259·NO $210
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$638(-62.7%)
Whales
10
K
KiernanMeisterProven🥇
Entry 48¢·1,295.2 shares
$-442INV $617 · WR 63.4%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥈
Entry 24¢·904 shares
$-93INV $220 · WR 67.3%
M
melchior1248🥉
Entry 50¢·259.9 shares
$-95INV $130 · WR 69.2%
F
FuturosImperfeitos
Entry 20¢·100 shares
$-6INV $20 · WR 83.3%
B
biscoito27
Entry 26¢·40 shares
$-5INV $10 · WR 57.1%
P
phantombonsai
Entry 21¢·40 shares
$-3INV $8 · WR 64.2%
F
FrozenParasite
Entry 11¢·49.9 shares
+$1INV $5 · WR 56.4%
S
Spectrumhedged
Entry 7¢·73 shares·also $52 on NO
+$5INV $5 · WR 60.9%
M
mapleggg
Entry 4¢·4 shares
+$0INV $0 · WR 86.1%
Showing top 9 of 10

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 27% YES: Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026…