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85 days left

Will Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
81¢
81% implied
NO Price
19¢
19% implied
Volume
$5.2K
159 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 80 traders

Next ECB President?

7 MARKETS · $16.8K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

10 YESvs12 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 81¢
YES 46%NO 55%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 81¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 93%· net of hedges
+4 new YES · 2 smart whales+3 new NO
$34 bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 4 on YES
YES 4NO 0one dot = one wallet
4 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $337 is directional: YES $337·NO $0
YES Team
Total Invested
$361
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$128(+35.5%)
Whales
10
N
NewshoundProven🥇
Entry 79¢·155.8 shares
+$4INV $122 · WR 57.0%
S
Sniveling-Passion🥈
Entry 44¢·225.9 shares
+$82INV $100 · WR 72.9%
T
tinman2🥉
Entry 45¢·92 shares
+$33INV $41 · WR 64.7%
A
alualu28
Entry 79¢·38.5 shares
+$1INV $30 · WR 67.8%
A
amqu
Entry 80¢·30 shares
+$0INV $24 · WR 72.0%
M
ManipulationOfRisk
Entry 81¢·25 shares
$-0INV $20 · WR 74.2%
T
tobiUza
Entry 57¢·17.9 shares
+$4INV $10 · WR 62.5%
F
firegold
Entry 59¢·10 shares
+$2INV $6 · WR 58.8%
N
new-account-test222
Entry 67¢·5 shares
+$1INV $3 · WR 68.3%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 56¢·5 shares
+$1INV $3 · WR 68.1%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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