Tech/AIResolved
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$7.9K
418 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 137 traders
Smart Money Consensus
14 YESvs21 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 95% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $712 is directional: YES $676·NO $35YES Team
Total Invested
$2.2K
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+77.3%)
Whales
14
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 53¢·2,216.6 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$1034
+$1034INV $1.2K · WR 63.4%
B
bmtr🥈
Entry 78¢·654.3 shares
Invested
$507
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$140
+$140INV $507 · WR 63.5%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥉
Entry 37¢·513.7 shares
Invested
$191
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$323
+$323INV $191 · WR 63.6%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezuhedged
Entry 54¢·220 shares·also $204 on NO
Invested
$120
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $120 · WR 67.1%
C
Conscious-Belligerency◆Proven
Entry 57¢·141.9 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $81 · WR 69.4%
P
PavtheGreat
Entry 72¢·106 shares
Invested
$77
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $77 · WR 62.6%
S
Spherical-Fringehedged
Entry 55¢·20 shares·also $21 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $11 · WR 65.5%
P
piggyramen
Entry 92¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 55.7%
N
nw1eilun784
Entry 90¢·2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
82.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 82.6%
Q
Quarterly-Crab
Entry 94¢·1.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
59.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 59.1%
Showing top 10 of 14
NO Team
Total Invested
$616
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$574(-93.2%)
Whales
21
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥇hedged
Entry 110¢·185 shares·also $120 on YES
Invested
$204
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-204
$-204INV $204 · WR 67.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 51¢·140 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $71 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 39¢·156.9 shares
Invested
$61
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $61 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 54¢·100 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $54 · WR 72.2%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 14¢·268.7 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $39 · WR 79.2%
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven
Entry 8¢·450.2 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $35 · WR 56.0%
S
Spherical-Fringehedged
Entry 107¢·20 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$21
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 65.5%
G
god83743894
Entry 15¢·135 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $20 · WR 85.7%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 54¢·25 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $14 · WR 88.1%
K
korda77
Entry 20¢·67 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 85.2%
Showing top 10 of 21
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