Politics47 days left

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

11¢

11% implied

NO Price

89¢

89% implied

Volume

$4.7K

181 trades

Smart Whales

of 74 traders · 1 on both sides

Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

6 MARKETS · $19.4K MATCHED

Smart Money

Liberal–National−37¢67¢

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election

21¢+29¢$2801/1

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election+29¢21¢

$2801/1

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election

9¢+11¢$3551/4

Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election+11¢9¢

$3551/4

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs18 NO

10%90%

90% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges

+3 new YES$108+3 new NO$639

$17 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale1 smart whale

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

$51 of $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $0·NO $1.6K

YES Team

Total Invested

$25

Avg Win Rate

59.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$16(+62.9%)

Whales

probability🥇hedged

Entry 7¢·359.9 shares·also $502 on NO

+$16INV $25 · WR 59.8%

NO Team

Total Invested

$2.0K

Avg Win Rate

63.0%

Aggregate P&L

+$552(+27.0%)

Whales

FrozenParasite🥇

Entry 80¢·1,221.9 shares

+$108INV $975 · WR 56.4%

probability🥈hedged

Entry 86¢·580 shares·also $25 on YES

+$12INV $502 · WR 59.8%

+$119INV $154 · WR 79.6%

$-11INV $126 · WR 59.5%

donthackme

Entry 88¢·92.3 shares

+$0INV $82 · WR 87.7%

northdrawer

Entry 50¢·100.4 shares

+$39INV $50 · WR 87.7%

+$23INV $30 · WR 85.7%

+$21INV $27 · WR 70.9%

gmgmgmgmg

Entry 50¢·49.8 shares

+$19INV $25 · WR 79.2%

$-2INV $20 · WR 67.2%

Showing top 10 of 18

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