PoliticsResolved
Will Noor Tarun win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$12.5K
240 trades
Smart Whales
41
of 95 traders
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs36 NO
12%88%
88% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 1% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $4.3K is directional: YES $31·NO $4.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$544
Avg Win Rate
70.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$517(-95.1%)
Whales
5
P
pilipro3🥇
Entry 96¢·500 shares
Invested
$481
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-481
$-481INV $481 · WR 71.2%
P
panitom🥈
Entry 4¢·572.6 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 67.4%
F
FrozenParasite🥉
Entry 2¢·537.6 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 56.4%
S
StraddleSeller
Entry 1¢·388.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
66.2%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 66.2%
F
Flipadelphia
Entry 2¢·51.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.2K
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.1K(+44.6%)
Whales
36
W
Wagner275738🥇
Entry 97¢·3,005 shares
Invested
$2.9K
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $2.9K · WR 89.2%
T
The-Joker◆Proven🥈
Entry 50¢·5,691.5 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$2846
+$2846INV $2.8K · WR 70.0%
A
Aware-Athlete🥉
Entry 98¢·1,209.5 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1.2K · WR 81.8%
G
groth◆Proven
Entry 96¢·500 shares
Invested
$481
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $481 · WR 65.0%
A
alpha-bonds
Entry 54¢·749.9 shares
Invested
$404
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$346
+$346INV $404 · WR 88.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·540 shares
Invested
$270
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$270
+$270INV $270 · WR 79.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·358 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$179
+$179INV $179 · WR 88.7%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 55¢·169.1 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $92 · WR 59.8%
G
god83743894
Entry 56¢·159.1 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$71
+$71INV $89 · WR 85.7%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 50¢·145 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $73 · WR 79.2%
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