Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 20% and 40%?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$55.3K
1,050 trades
Smart Whales
75
of 204 traders
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs46 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $888 is directional: YES $0·NO $888YES Team
Total Invested
$21.1K
Avg Win Rate
67.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$14.8K(+70.4%)
Whales
29
L
lomneivan🥇
Entry 50¢·23,162 shares
Invested
$11.6K
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$11566
+$11566INV $11.6K · WR 69.0%
W
whig◆Proven🥈
Entry 335¢·1,394.5 shares
Invested
$4.7K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-3279
$-3279INV $4.7K · WR 63.1%
S
SusanWarrenHR◆Proven🥉
Entry 40¢·5,468 shares
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$3300
+$3300INV $2.2K · WR 67.5%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 100¢·1,270 shares·also $270 on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1.3K · WR 63.4%
B
BKno95◆Proven
Entry 10¢·1,607 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$1442
+$1442INV $165 · WR 72.0%
C
Classic-Loggiahedged
Entry 28¢·237.3 shares·also $86 on NO
Invested
$67
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$171
+$171INV $67 · WR 59.6%
R
Relaccsed
Entry 8¢·537.2 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$494
+$494INV $43 · WR 56.7%
K
KimchiCapital◆Proven
Entry 13¢·295.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$256
+$256INV $39 · WR 79.3%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 3¢·544.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$529
+$529INV $16 · WR 59.7%
P
PaddyAlpha
Entry 1¢·347.4 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$343
+$343INV $5 · WR 68.2%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.1K
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.4K(-81.6%)
Whales
46
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 83¢·2,127.7 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1774
$-1774INV $1.8K · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 64¢·1,849 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-1179
$-1179INV $1.2K · WR 88.7%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 91¢·899.1 shares
Invested
$815
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-815
$-815INV $815 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·1,094.8 shares
Invested
$552
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-552
$-552INV $552 · WR 72.2%
T
The-Joker◆Proven
Entry 53¢·826.4 shares
Invested
$437
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-437
$-437INV $437 · WR 70.0%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 92¢·400 shares
Invested
$369
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-369
$-369INV $369 · WR 69.8%
1
0x130843eb...
Entry 48¢·732.8 shares
Invested
$353
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-353
$-353INV $353 · WR 65.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 94¢·364.3 shares
Invested
$342
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-342
$-342INV $342 · WR 87.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 92¢·313 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-289
$-289INV $289 · WR 89.3%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 89¢·303.2 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$270
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-270
$-270INV $270 · WR 63.4%
Showing top 10 of 46
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