Politics16 days left
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
YES Price
13¢
13% implied
NO Price
87¢
87% implied
Volume
$7.5K
357 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 132 traders · 1 on both sides
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
6 MARKETS · $20.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs9 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $645 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $113·NO $530YES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
65.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-78.4%)
Whales
6
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 48¢·1,750.7 shares
Invested
$835
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-607
$-607INV $835 · WR 63.5%
E
EsperanzasDESTROYER🥈
Entry 121¢·461.7 shares
Invested
$560
Win Rate
64.8%
Position P&L
$-500
$-500INV $560 · WR 64.8%
O
Offbeat-Injoke🥉
Entry 50¢·225 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $113 · WR 83.7%
K
KurtOzizhedged
Entry 34¢·120.5 shares·also $49 on NO
Invested
$41
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $41 · WR 65.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 47¢·6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 68.8%
1
1walrushedged
Entry 10¢·15.2 shares·also $338 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 64.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$757
Avg Win Rate
67.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$384(+50.8%)
Whales
9
1
1walrus🥇hedged
Entry 57¢·588.5 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$338
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $338 · WR 64.6%
A
adenakoz1🥈
Entry 76¢·255 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $193 · WR 56.5%
Q
quietparcel🥉
Entry 52¢·113.1 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $59 · WR 88.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 49¢·110 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $54 · WR 87.7%
K
KurtOzizhedged
Entry 41¢·120.5 shares·also $41 on YES
Invested
$49
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $49 · WR 65.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 45¢·66.3 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $30 · WR 86.1%
D
donthackme
Entry 90¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $14 · WR 87.6%
C
coldhot
Entry 48¢·24 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
72.7%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $11 · WR 72.7%
E
e46m3
Entry 51¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $8 · WR 79.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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