YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$15.7K
347 trades
Smart Whales
20
of 86 traders
Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
21 MARKETS · $416.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
40¢−2¢$13.5K6/10Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or−2¢40¢
$13.5K6/10
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
97¢−24¢$117.8K35/13Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or−24¢97¢
$117.8K35/13
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
94¢−26¢$52.9K28/13Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or−26¢94¢
$52.9K28/13
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
74¢−11¢$76.0K17/10Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or−11¢74¢
$76.0K17/10
Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
17¢+23¢$15.2K6/9Will Rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or+23¢17¢
$15.2K6/9
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
10¢+23¢$22.0K7/14Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or+23¢10¢
$22.0K7/14
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
28¢+6¢$32.5K12/23Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or+6¢28¢
$32.5K12/23
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
8¢+13¢$33.1K5/19Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or+13¢8¢
$33.1K5/19
Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
7¢−7¢$15.0K0/18Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or−7¢7¢
$15.0K0/18
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢+9¢$5.9K1/8Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or+9¢2¢
$5.9K1/8
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
3¢+17¢$6.9K1/4Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or+17¢3¢
$6.9K1/4
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢+48¢$7221/1Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or+48¢2¢
$7221/1
Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or←
8¢+12¢$15.7K4/16Will Michael Olise finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or←+12¢8¢
$15.7K4/16
Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢+99¢$4321/0Will Vinícius Júnior finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or+99¢1¢
$4321/0
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢−1¢$2.7K0/3Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or−1¢1¢
$2.7K0/3
Will Vitinha finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢—$1460/0Will Vitinha finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or—1¢
$1460/0
Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
0¢0¢$930/1Will Achraf Hakimi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or0¢0¢
$930/1
Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
1¢−1¢$8830/1Will Bruno Fernandes finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or−1¢1¢
$8830/1
Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or
2¢−2¢$860/2Will Luis Diaz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or−2¢2¢
$860/2
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs16 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 98%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$69+11 new NO$2.1K
$47 of this was bought on both sides by the same 5 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.7K is directional: YES $68·NO $3.6KYES Team
Total Invested
$319
Avg Win Rate
59.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$213(-66.8%)
Whales
4
G
Grumpy-Oven🥇hedged
Entry 89¢·270 shares·also $20 on NO
Invested
$240
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-219
$-219INV $240 · WR 58.3%
G
Gl4d🥈
Entry 6¢·1,111 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $68 · WR 59.6%
K
klp82🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·10 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$10
Win Rate
77.1%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 77.1%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 4¢·42.1 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $2 · WR 58.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
73.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$102(-2.8%)
Whales
16
P
Parz1vaI🥇
Entry 95¢·2,948.2 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $2.8K · WR 71.6%
M
molly-rabby🥈
Entry 94¢·333 shares
Invested
$313
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $313 · WR 92.7%
O
Opulent-Communicant🥉
Entry 91¢·165.9 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $150 · WR 73.1%
L
lakatosnapoleon
Entry 93¢·125 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $117 · WR 67.1%
M
milkthedip
Entry 92¢·73.6 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
74.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $68 · WR 74.0%
R
regregr
Entry 96¢·51.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
80.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $50 · WR 80.4%
V
vadret
Entry 96¢·51.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $50 · WR 65.2%
J
justagrosshopper
Entry 94¢·40 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $38 · WR 55.3%
A
Anjunhedged
Entry 94¢·40 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $38 · WR 58.8%
G
Grumpy-Ovenhedged
Entry 844¢·2.4 shares·also $240 on YES
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $20 · WR 58.3%
Showing top 10 of 16
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