PoliticsResolved
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$4.1K
221 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 94 traders
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs17 NO
26%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5 is directional: YES $5·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$79
Avg Win Rate
66.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$71(-89.2%)
Whales
6
B
balthazar🥇hedged
Entry 6¢·738.5 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$45
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $45 · WR 72.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈hedged
Entry 13¢·143.9 shares·also $129 on NO
Invested
$18
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 57.7%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich🥉
Entry 100¢·11 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.4%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 59.4%
G
getfee-s1
Entry 10¢·50 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 55.9%
D
Devoted-Bullethedged
Entry 5¢·6.2 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 85.4%
J
JPLP
Entry 3¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 57.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$607
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$420(+69.1%)
Whales
17
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 90¢·143.9 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$129
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $129 · WR 57.7%
G
graynotebook19🥈
Entry 99¢·79 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $78 · WR 89.3%
P
plainfolder🥉
Entry 23¢·292 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$222
+$222INV $67 · WR 86.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 98¢·55.3 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $54 · WR 87.7%
N
Newshound
Entry 90¢·59.5 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $54 · WR 57.1%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 97¢·53 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $51 · WR 89.0%
K
korda77
Entry 30¢·165 shares
Invested
$49
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$114
+$114INV $49 · WR 85.2%
N
nullpointa
Entry 87¢·47.8 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $42 · WR 87.5%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 99¢·26.8 shares·also $45 on YES
Invested
$27
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $27 · WR 72.2%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 95¢·14 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $13 · WR 85.8%
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