PoliticsResolved
Will Marcel Van Hattem win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$15.6K
747 trades
Smart Whales
38
of 196 traders
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs31 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $41 is directional: YES $25·NO $16YES Team
Total Invested
$726
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$566(+78.0%)
Whales
7
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3🥇
Entry 87¢·370.1 shares
Invested
$320
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $320 · WR 57.9%
R
Renan2030🥈
Entry 47¢·314.7 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$166
+$166INV $148 · WR 77.3%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥉hedged
Entry 83¢·161.9 shares·also $144 on NO
Invested
$135
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $135 · WR 67.3%
S
Scrawny-Addresshedged
Entry 56¢·69.2 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $39 · WR 69.2%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 30¢·83.4 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$56
+$56INV $25 · WR 69.8%
M
maestro06
Entry 6¢·253.1 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$237
+$237INV $16 · WR 62.0%
Showing top 6 of 7
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-81.5%)
Whales
31
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 59¢·401.9 shares
Invested
$235
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-235
$-235INV $235 · WR 63.4%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥈hedged
Entry 89¢·161.9 shares·also $135 on YES
Invested
$144
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-144
$-144INV $144 · WR 67.3%
N
northdrawer🥉
Entry 54¢·214.2 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-116
$-116INV $116 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·220 shares
Invested
$110
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-110
$-110INV $110 · WR 88.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 50¢·184 shares
Invested
$92
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-92
$-92INV $92 · WR 86.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 53¢·171.1 shares
Invested
$91
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $91 · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar
Entry 50¢·160 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $80 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·157.2 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $79 · WR 79.6%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 71¢·100 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $71 · WR 79.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·110.6 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $56 · WR 89.3%
Showing top 10 of 31
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