PoliticsResolved
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$15.2K
638 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 185 traders
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs26 NO
24%77%
77% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $284 is directional: YES $277·NO $7YES Team
Total Invested
$280
Avg Win Rate
65.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$233(-83.2%)
Whales
8
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥇
Entry 23¢·795.4 shares
Invested
$187
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-143
$-143INV $187 · WR 67.3%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven🥈
Entry 14¢·500 shares
Invested
$70
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $70 · WR 62.5%
S
Secondary-Procedure🥉
Entry 49¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $10 · WR 55.6%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 36¢·20 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $7 · WR 59.6%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 20¢·15.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $3 · WR 68.1%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 7¢·46.6 shares·also $33 on NO
Invested
$3
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 55.0%
M
mapleggg
Entry 3¢·2.8 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $0 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 7 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+81.1%)
Whales
26
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 50¢·1,354.6 shares
Invested
$677
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$677
+$677INV $677 · WR 77.6%
6
65765757🥈
Entry 54¢·465.4 shares
Invested
$251
Win Rate
78.3%
Position P&L
+$214
+$214INV $251 · WR 78.3%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 56¢·359.9 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$157
+$157INV $203 · WR 88.2%
N
northdrawer
Entry 56¢·240.2 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $134 · WR 87.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·246 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$123
+$123INV $123 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 66¢·145.3 shares
Invested
$96
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $96 · WR 89.3%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 53¢·125.6 shares
Invested
$67
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $67 · WR 79.6%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 79¢·65 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $52 · WR 89.0%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBedhedged
Entry 72¢·46.6 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$33
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $33 · WR 55.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 79¢·35.1 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $28 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 26
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