PoliticsResolved
Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$22.7K
706 trades
Smart Whales
50
of 195 traders
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs38 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 18% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $311 is directional: YES $55·NO $256YES Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
65.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$984(-94.3%)
Whales
12
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 45¢·1,303.3 shares
Invested
$589
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-589
$-589INV $589 · WR 63.4%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥈hedged
Entry 90¢·211 shares·also $203 on NO
Invested
$190
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-190
$-190INV $190 · WR 67.3%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor🥉
Entry 10¢·1,357.3 shares
Invested
$132
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $132 · WR 70.5%
G
GroovyCr0c0dil3
Entry 36¢·145 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $53 · WR 57.9%
P
Prinashedged
Entry 15¢·177.8 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 81.2%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 10¢·14.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 68.2%
J
Jovial-Remains-Scarf
Entry 3¢·23.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
90.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 90.4%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 43¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 8 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.6K(+79.0%)
Whales
38
R
Renan2030🥇
Entry 51¢·3,203.1 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
77.3%
Position P&L
+$1565
+$1565INV $1.6K · WR 77.3%
6
65765757🥈
Entry 52¢·2,503.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
78.2%
Position P&L
+$1198
+$1198INV $1.3K · WR 78.2%
S
Seeking-Alpha01🥉hedged
Entry 96¢·211 shares·also $190 on YES
Invested
$203
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $203 · WR 67.3%
S
Samomalo
Entry 89¢·200 shares
Invested
$179
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $179 · WR 67.5%
J
JAMJAMJAM4
Entry 60¢·231.7 shares
Invested
$139
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$93
+$93INV $139 · WR 55.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 33¢·358.9 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$242
+$242INV $117 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 53¢·200 shares
Invested
$105
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $105 · WR 88.2%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 99¢·103.4 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $102 · WR 59.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 76¢·116.5 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $89 · WR 87.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 76¢·112 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $85 · WR 86.0%
Showing top 10 of 38
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